The Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation (NNPC) has revealed that the country’s fuel subsidy payments rose by 1,174 per cent in the first two months of 2019.
According to the Corporation’s Monthly Financial and Operations Report (MFOR) May, 2019, recently released, the total sum of N206.585 billion was paid out as under recovery in January and February 2019. The figure is an increase of N190.37 compared to N16.212 billion recorded in the last two months of 2018.
Some analyst have raised concerns as the hike in under recovery receipt came in wake of the 2019 general elections.
The country’s general election took place February 23, 2019, for the presidential and national assembly elections and March 9, 2019 for the governorship and state Assemblies’ elections.
Under recovery, also known as fuel subsidy, is the cost the NNPC is incurring to subsidise the price of premium motor spirit, (PMS), also known as petrol, ensuring that it is sold at fuel retail stations at the regulated price of N145 per litre, even when the real market price is above the regulated price.
Since 2017, the NNPC had been the sole importer of PMS in Nigeria and it deducts cost for under recovery before making remittances to the Federation Account.
In its Monthly Financial and Operations Report for May 2019 published yesterday, the NNPC stated that it recorded under recovery of N104.347 billion in January 2019, rising by 682 per cent or N91.011 billion from N13.336 billion recorded in December 2019.
The amount paid as under recovery by the NNPC, according to the report, dropped by 1.9 per cent to N102.338 billion in February 2019, an equivalent of N2.009 billion.
The amount declared as under recovery by the NNPC in November 2018, stood at N2.876 billion, dropping sharply from N40.53 billion recorded in October 2018.
The report revealed that the amount recorded as subsidy by the NNPC in January and February 2019 alone, was more than the amount spent on the same item from July 2018 to November 2018, which stood at N206.3 billion.
Specifically, in July, August, September, October and November 2018, the report noted that the NNPC declared under recovery of N51.2 billion, N65.9 billion, N45.8 billion, N40.5 billion and N2.9 billion respectively.
Ironically, the naira remained stable within these periods, while the price of crude oil in the international market remained low.
In particular, In November 2018, when the average price of crude oil, according to global energy data firm, IndexMudi, was $64.75 per barrel, the amount the NNPC declared as subsidy was N2.876 billion; while in December 2018, when the price of crude oil dropped to $57.36 per barrels, the NNPC declared N13.336 billion as subsidy.
In a sharp contrast, In January 2019, when crude oil averaged $59.41 per barrel, the NNPC declared N104.347 billion as fuel subsidy, while it deducted N102.338 billion as subsidy when the price of crude oil averaged $63.96 per barrel.
Reacting to the analysis, the spokesman of NNPC, Ndu Ughamadu, said two key factors led to the increase. He listed them to be, rise in the cost of crude oil in the global market and increase in cross-border smuggling of petroleum products in the country.
However, it’s not certain whether cross-border smuggling was higher in the period revealed in the report..