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The 2027 Elections And Artificial Intelligence

Olufunke Baruwa by Olufunke Baruwa
3 weeks ago
in Backpage, Columns
The 2027 Elections And Artificial Intelligence
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Nigeria is already talking about 2027. Politicians are positioning, aspirants are consulting, parties are calculating, and opposition figures are negotiating how best to challenge the ruling party. Zoning, defections, endorsements and political alliances dominate conversations that should be preparing Nigerians to make informed choices about their future.

But another player is entering the electoral arena, one that does not need a party card, attend rallies or queue at a polling unit: artificial intelligence.

The Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) has announced plans to deploy AI tools ahead of the 2027 general elections. According to the INEC chairman, Professor Joash Amupitan, the technology will support backend operations, detect discrepancies and strengthen the commission’s systems against digital threats. His assurance is unequivocal: “algorithms will not, and must never, decide the 2027 vote.”

That is welcome. But who will protect Nigerians from politicians, campaign operatives and online influencers who may use the same technology to manipulate how voters think, feel and ultimately vote?

Every serious candidate should explain how they intend to make Nigerians safer, create jobs, improve public services, tackle corruption and expand women’s participation in political leadership. Voters deserve policies, credible commitments and measurable promises not merely slogans, endorsements and declarations that only one candidate can save the country.

Yet even the most persuasive manifesto can be undermined if voters are manipulated into supporting a candidate, or rejecting another, on the strength of fabricated information. That is where AI becomes an electoral concern, not simply a tech story.

 

When Campaigns Acquire a Digital Voice

Nigeria does not need to imagine the problem. The warning signs are already here. Fabricated newspaper front pages have circulated with false quotes attributed to prominent political figures. A false claim that INEC had adjusted its 2027 election timetable also gained traction online before being debunked. An old video can be presented as evidence of a politician’s latest betrayal; a photograph can be altered to suggest an endorsement that never happened.

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Imagine the next phase: A cloned voice announces that a presidential candidate has withdrawn. A fake INEC statement claims that voting has been postponed in selected local government areas. A fabricated video shows a candidate insulting a religious community. An invented result sheet appears online while votes are still being counted. By the time the truth emerges, screenshots have travelled through WhatsApp groups, radio discussions and political networks across the country.

In Nigeria, where political competition intersects with ethnic, religious and regional identities, such content could inflame tensions or provoke violence. Campaigns could also use targeted messaging to tell different groups contradictory stories, leaving citizens with no common basis for judging the candidates.

Women candidates face a particularly vicious version of this threat. AI-generated sexual images, fabricated intimate content and impersonation can be used to shame, intimidate and drive women out of public life. The purpose may not be to win an argument but to make the cost of political participation unbearable.

In the 2027 election, a lie may reach millions before the truth has finished clearing its throat. And the danger is not limited to convincing deepfakes. Repetition can make a false claim appear true. A genuine video stripped of context can be as damaging as a fabricated one. AI simply makes the production, adaptation and distribution of deception cheaper and faster.

 

Protecting the Vote Without Policing Opinion

INEC’s plan to use AI for its own operations is important, but it cannot secure the entire information environment in which elections will be contested. A well-protected database will not stop a fake video from going viral. Detecting a discrepancy in electoral records is not the same as identifying a fabricated speech circulating across millions of phones.

Who will verify suspicious content? Who can correct a false claim quickly enough to prevent harm? How will a person falsely portrayed obtain redress? And will the rules apply equally when the misinformation comes from a powerful government official, an opposition campaign or an influential online supporter? These questions require answers before the campaigns reach fever pitch.

INEC should publish clear protocols for responding to fake announcements, manipulated electoral materials and impersonation of its officials. Its AI tools must operate under human oversight, transparent procedures and safeguards against errors. Citizens should know what the technology can do, what it cannot do and how decisions influenced by it can be challenged.

But there is a second danger: using the fight against misinformation as an excuse to censor criticism.

A government that can dismiss inconvenient reporting as “fake news” may be tempted to silence legitimate opposition. A politician caught making a damaging statement may simply claim the recording was generated by AI. As synthetic media becomes more convincing, genuine evidence may also be dismissed as fabricated. In other words, technology can make it easier both to manufacture lies and to escape accountability for the truth.

The answer to digital deception cannot be the surrender of democratic freedoms.

Rules must distinguish demonstrably false and harmful material from satire, criticism and legitimate political disagreement. They must be transparent, proportionate and consistently enforced, with independent review and avenues for appeal. No institution should have unchecked power to decide which political narratives Nigerians are permitted to hear.

Political parties must also take responsibility for their campaign machinery. They should reject fabricated content, disclose significant uses of AI in campaign communications and discipline supporters who deliberately circulate falsehoods. Technology platforms must respond promptly to credible reports of coordinated manipulation. Media organisations must verify disputed audio, video and images before amplifying them, while fact-checkers and civil society need the tools and reach to challenge false claims.

And citizens must resist becoming unpaid distributors of political propaganda. Before forwarding that sensational voice note to a family group, ask who produced it. Before sharing a dramatic video, check whether it is current and authentic. Before believing a screenshot of a headline, look for the original publication.

 

From Election Technology to Democratic Accountability

Ultimately, the 2027 election will test more than INEC’s technological capacity. It will test the integrity of political parties, the independence of institutions, the responsibility of digital platforms and the judgement of voters.

Nigeria should be asking candidates not only what they intend to do with the economy, security and public services, but also how they will protect digital rights, govern the use of AI and prevent technology-enabled abuse. Their answers should be judged against clear commitments, not campaign theatre.

INEC is right that algorithms must never decide the vote. But protecting the election cannot be left to the commission alone. Technology companies must act responsibly. Political leaders must resist weaponising falsehoods. The media must verify before amplifying. Citizens must question before sharing.

AI can help secure electoral systems. It cannot manufacture integrity, restore public trust or replace accountable leadership. Nor can technology rescue a democracy in which voters are too exhausted, angry or cynical to demand better.

The real contest in 2027 will not be between humans and machines. It will be between a democracy that trusts citizens with facts and a political culture willing to manipulate them for power.

The question is not simply who will win in 2027. It is whether Nigerians will be free to decide for themselves.

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Olufunke Baruwa

Olufunke Baruwa

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