The resurgence of mass abductions in Nigeria’s Northwest has sent shockwaves across the nation, with 145 people kidnapped in Kebbi, Niger, and Zamfara States between November 13 and 17, 2025, followed by further incidents.
The most harrowing during this period occurred on November 17, when armed bandits stormed the Government Girls Comprehensive Secondary School in Maga, Kebbi State, killing the vice-principal and abducting 25 schoolgirls during a pre-dawn raid. Just days later, on November 19, gunmen attacked a church in Taraba State, killing two worshippers. Then, on November 21, terrorists invaded St. Mary’s Private Secondary School in Papiri, Niger State, abducting over 100 students from the Catholic institution.
This attack, reported by Reuters and local media, marks a disturbing escalation, with the total now exceeding 200 victims in under a week. Reminiscent of the 2014 Chibok kidnapping, these assaults underscore a troubling return to large-scale banditry despite ongoing peace deals.
As families endure anguish and communities live in fear, we are compelled to critique the effectiveness of these agreements, highlighting their failures and urging a shift to more robust security measures to protect vulnerable populations.
The details of these abductions reveal a pattern of brazen criminality. In Kebbi, the school raid not only claimed a life but also left the community traumatised, with the bandits escaping through forests linking Zamfara and Niger States.
Reports indicate the attackers used the corridors repeatedly for mass kidnappings, exploiting weak border controls. In Niger State, similar incidents contributed to the tally, with gunmen targeting villages and highways, culminating in the November 21 Catholic school raid where over 100 students were taken.
Zamfara, long a hotspot, saw multiple raids during the period, adding to the 145 victims. Plan International, a nongovernmental organisation (NGO) condemned the Kebbi attack, noting it as part of a broader trend where armed men exploit schools for ransom, endangering education in the region. The Taraba church attack further illustrates the diversification of targets, blending banditry with potential sectarian motives.
Social media erupted with outrage, with users sharing stories of previous abductions and questioning government inaction. These events signal a breakdown in security, where bandits operate with impunity, demanding ransoms that drain families and fuel further crime.
Peace deals, touted as solutions, have proven ineffective and, in some cases, counterproductive. In Zamfara, Governor Dauda Lawal’s administration initiated dialogues with bandit leaders in 2024, offering amnesty in exchange for surrender. Similar efforts in Kebbi and Niger involved community leaders brokering truces. However, these agreements have collapsed repeatedly.
Analysts point to a lack of enforcement, with amnestied bandits returning to crime due to unfulfilled promises like rehabilitation programmes. Media reports note that the resurgence follows failed pacts, as bandits exploit negotiations to regroup.
In Kebbi, the school attack occurred despite a state-level truce in September 2025, highlighting how deals lack monitoring mechanisms. Public sentiments on social media label them “risky gambles”, arguing they embolden criminals by signalling weakness.
To deepen the analysis, these deals stem from a pragmatic but flawed approach to asymmetric warfare. Banditry in the Northwest, unlike Boko Haram’s ideological drive, is often economically motivated, rooted in poverty, herder-farmer conflicts, and illegal mining. Governments opt for negotiations to avoid prolonged military engagements, as seen in Zamfara’s 2019 amnesty that initially reduced attacks but failed long-term due to reintegration gaps. A 2025 study by the International Crisis Group. a NGO, reveals that without addressing root causes like land disputes and unemployment, deals incentivise crime, as surrendered bandits receive stipends while communities suffer retaliation. In Niger State, similar pacts have led to a cycle of betrayal, with bandits using ceasefires to extort more, as evidenced by the November 21 school raid.
Economically, abductions drain resources; families pay millions in ransoms, diverting funds from education and health. Nationally, this erodes trust in government, fuelling calls for state police or federal overhauls.
The human cost is profound, particularly for women and children. The Kebbi abduction echoes the 2021 Jangebe raid in Zamfara, where 279 girls were taken, highlighting gender-based vulnerabilities. The Niger Catholic school attack adds to this, with over 100 children now in captivity. UNICEF reports that over 1,500 children were abducted in Nigeria in 2024, with the Northwest accounting for 60 per cent. Survivors face trauma, forced marriages, and dropout from school, perpetuating poverty cycles.
The Taraba church assault on November 19, killing two, further diversifies the threat. Social media campaigns amplify this, with hashtags demanding #EndBanditry, reflecting public frustration. Experts from Amnesty International argue that ineffective deals prolong suffering, as they fail to hold perpetrators accountable, allowing impunity to thrive.
Critiquing peace deal effectiveness requires acknowledging their limited successes. In some instances, like Sokoto’s 2023 truce, short-term reductions in attacks allowed farming resumption. However, without sustained enforcement, relapses occur. The Nigerian Institute for Peace and Conflict Resolution notes that deals lack community buy-in and intelligence integration, leading to betrayal. Comparative analysis with Colombia’s FARC negotiations shows that successful pacts include demobilisation, reintegration, and development packages, elements absent in Nigeria’s ad hoc approaches.
Nationally, this resurgence demands a paradigm shift. Abandon ineffective deals in favour of intelligence-led operations, as demonstrated by recent military successes in Kaduna. Invest in community policing and socioeconomic programmes to address root causes, like poverty alleviation in Zamfara. Federal coordination through the National Security Adviser‘s office could standardise responses, preventing state-level inconsistencies. Public calls align, with social media urging “no more talks with terrorists”.
In our opinion, mass abductions signal peace deals’ failure, necessitating robust alternatives. By prioritising enforcement and development, Nigeria can reclaim security and protect its citizens.
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