Fear And Fragility: How Safe Are Nigerians?

When dawn cracks open the Nigerian sky these days, the first breath many people take is heavy with questions that shouldn’t linger in a country as rich in potential as Nigeria. It used to be enough to worry about food on the table or the children’s school fees, but now an even more primal fear sits beside those old burdens: “Am I safe enough to see tomorrow?” Once upon a time, these worries were spoken in hushed tones only in the northeast, in places where Boko Haram and ISWAP turned towns into ghost settlements and farms into mass graves. But now, fear has found new postcodes, new voices, and new victims. From wedding convoys ambushed on the road in Plateau to explosions rocking markets in Kano, from gun battles in Kaduna’s streets to soldiers ambushed in Niger State, the message is clear: the fear of sudden violence is no longer distant. It has become the air we breathe.

A killing field

Just in the last fortnight, a series of chilling incidents cut through every illusion that anywhere in Nigeria is truly safe. Benue is already a story of a killing field. Thirty-one travellers going from Kaduna to a wedding in Plateau were attacked on the road; twelve didn’t make it back alive, and the rest are scarred by a memory they will carry to their graves. In Borno’s Kobduga village, mourners gathered to bury loved ones only to be ripped apart by suicide bombers—over thirty dead in a single, devastating heartbeat. Kano, a city known for its industriousness and commerce, shuddered when a deadly explosion in Sabon Gari killed nine people and injured dozens more, a blast rumoured to be linked to illegal storage of explosives but symbolising something bigger: that even the places where business booms are just a spark away from tragedy. In Barnawa, Kaduna, people cowered behind locked doors as police exchanged fire with armed robbers in a broad daylight shootout that left the air thick with the smell of gunpowder. Niger State saw its horror when soldiers manning a checkpoint near Kontagora were ambushed and killed, their weapons stolen — evidence that the guardians themselves have become targets.

These tragedies are not isolated dots on a tragic map; they form a pattern that millions of Nigerians have come to accept as the new normal. And that is where the real danger lies: when fear becomes familiar, hopelessness creeps in. But while the bullets and bombs make headlines, there is a quieter violence that maims just as deeply — the violence of economic insecurity. It sits at the market stall where a mother must decide what to buy when the naira in her purse has lost its worth overnight. It waits in the empty fields in Zamfara and Katsina, where farmers have fled because to tend crops is now to risk being kidnapped or killed. When you stitch these numbers together, you see a nation not just wounded but drifting on a tide of fear and uncertainty.

It’s not only Nigerians who see this. A recent global survey by a Singaporean firm looked at 180 countries through the lens of safety and well-being. It measured nine key areas: personal safety, quality of life, cost of living, global peace, purchasing power, healthcare, property affordability, commute times, and employment rates. Nigeria didn’t make the top 100 places where citizens feel safe — neither physically nor financially. Our Quality-of-Life Index dropped from 5th to 6th in Africa in 2025, primarily due to a combination of runaway inflation, deteriorating infrastructure, and persistently high unemployment rates.

The Global Peace Index ranks us 146th out of 163 countries. On healthcare, we lag embarrassingly far behind with fewer than 0.4 doctors for every thousand people, while the global average stands at 1.6. Meanwhile, our Purchasing Power Index continues to decline as the naira loses value and prices spiral upward.

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Against that backdrop, President Tinubu took the rostrum of the National Assembly on Democracy Day and declared, “National security is the foundation of peace and progress. We have intensified security operations to reclaim communities from criminals and terrorists… our highways are safer, and we invest in technology and training to secure every inch of this country.” His government’s numbers are indeed impressive: ₦6.11 trillion—the most significant defence allocation in Nigerian history—was allocated from the record ₦54.99 trillion budget for 2025. He has initiated discussions on constitutional amendments for state policing and signalled his readiness to move policing to the Concurrent List.

Bandits on rampage despite huge defence budgets

Yet the gulf between appropriation and outcome is measured in graves, not spreadsheets. Within a week of the Democracy Day address, a suicide bomber blew apart market-goers in Konduga; within days, a mortar shell tore through a Kano factory; within hours of new “precision strikes” in Niger State, fourteen soldiers lay dead. Critics ask why, after two supplementary defence budgets and a raft of new commanders, bandits still dictate farming cycles, and kidnapping cartels still fix ransom prices. The AP’s report on the Benue massacre notes that Tinubu’s visit came days late and yielded no immediate arrests, fuelling accusations of a “react-don’t-prevent” doctrine. The bigger structural reforms—professionalised local policing, swift judicial processes, socio-economic buffers—remain promises in committee rooms while communities improvise barricades.

So, when people ask, “Are Nigerians safe?” the honest answer is that many aren’t — not from the gunman on the highway nor the slow violence of poverty that drains hope from the bones. This is why the core argument must ring loud: our leaders — local, state, and federal — must finally grasp that security is not just soldiers at checkpoints or more guns in the hands of the police. Security must be understood in all its dimensions. Economic insecurity is as dangerous as physical insecurity. A hungry nation will never be a peaceful nation; a country where 50% of youth are unemployed or underemployed is not a country that can sleep with both eyes closed.

What’s the way forward?

So, what should we do with this grim reflection? We can’t continue with ritual condemnations that dry up in press conferences. We must build a new understanding that security is a basket with many eggs: reforming security forces to protect, not exploit; investing in local intelligence and community policing so trust replaces fear; taming inflation with policies that don’t just favour the elite; reviving the economy by fixing roads, energising power supply, supporting farmers, and encouraging industries to absorb our restless youth. We need a healthcare system that works, schools that stay open and deliver real learning, and courts that convict criminals, regardless of their connections. Defence spending must be matched by transparent audits and a parallel surge in humanitarian and reconstruction funds, particularly for the farms and schools that violence has emptied. And the social compact must be rebuilt. Citizens who trust that the government will protect their pockets are likelier to share intelligence that protects their neighbours’ lives.
This is not a one-person job. It is a task that calls on every Nigerian — leaders who must put self-interest aside, security agencies who must prioritise human rights, civil society who must continue pushing for accountability, and citizens who must hold those in power to their promises. Only then can we break this cycle where every dawn begins with the same whispered question, “Am I safe today?”.

We must create a Nigeria where that question fades —replaced by the certainty that whether you are a farmer in Zamfara, a student in Maiduguri, a trader in Kano, a nurse in Kaduna, a trader in Onitsha, or a civil servant in Abeokuta, you can live, work and hope without fear. Safety must become more than a privilege for the few; it must be a birthright for all. Until we get there, we will continue to count the bodies, bury the dreams, and wonder what it will take to turn this fragile state of safety into something more substantial, something real, something truly Nigerian.